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IJ 3 (11), 2011 Բ. ʲ 330.356 . . , . ֲ Ҳ ̲ ...

-- [ 1 ] --

IJ 3 (11), 2011

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330.356

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. , . , , . , () ᒺ , .

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: , , , , IS-LM, -, , , .

. Yu. Demchenko, senior lecturer

EVOLUTION OF EXCHANGE RATE SIMULATION

IN CONOMIC GROWTH ENVIRONMENT

Abstract. Past and presentexchange rate models theoretical conceptions and the problem of its forecasting in order to encourage national economy are reviewed in the article. It is analyzed the impact of exchange rate as government monetary policy on total demand and supply through its volatility. The author states that progressive national currency exchange rate increase (revaluation) has a positive influence on economy agents expectations and generates positive investment climate and can encourage Ukrainian economics modernization.

Keywords: currency exchange rate, economic environment, economic growth, buying power pariy, the IS-LM model, the Mundell-Fleming Open-Economy model, rational expectations, price discipline, transmission exchange rate channel mechanism.

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1920-1960 . , , . , , , . (1842-1924). 1923 ., , , . : , . - (MarshallLerner condition) [3, . 37].

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1937 (̳ : ) . ճ [6, . 147-159]. IS-LM 쳿 1972 . . ճ - 1949-1953 . ճ- (. Hicks-Hansen IS-LM model) ( ) ( ).

, , () () () () (); , (NX) () :

Y = C (Y, T, i) + I (Y, T, i) + G + NX, (1) () ; , : (), (), (G) (NX). : (. nvestment) S (. saving), IS;

(. liquidity Money), LM. IS LM (M0) , (. 1.; . 2).

   

0 ' 0 ' . 1. IS-LM . 2. IS-LM LM IS

   

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г IS-LM ( ) , (). (M0) . , . 1 ( LM ), , (), (). Գ (. 2), ( IS ), , , . , ճ-, LM, IS [6, . 147-159].

60- . 쳿 1999 . . [7, . 475-485] . [8, . 369-379]. , () , .

, - :

Y = C (Y, T) + I(i) + G + CA(e, Y), (2) , , (1) IS-LM, () (), ( л).

BP = CA + NFI, (3) , () (NFI).

- () :

( ) + IM ( )+ NTr + NI, + + = (4) e Y ( ) + (), e () + (IM), Y (); (NTr); (NI).

(NFI) :

NFI = CI + CO, (5) (. Capital Inflow CI), ; (. Capital utflow CO), .



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I߻ _ ̲ Ͳ ϲȪί IJҲ V ̳ - (45 2013 . ) 4. - . . 339 65 78...

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. . ̳ 67.9 (4 ) 303 . . , 쳿 ̳ . . 60 : : 2 . . 1. .: , 2008. 496 . ISBN 978-966-458-045-5 ...

̲Ͳ ² ֲ Ͳ Ͳ ȯ ˲Ͳ Ҕ 622.235.5 ί Ҳ Բ в ϲ Ͳ ’ 05.15.09 2013 . ...

ϳ . [ ] / . ϳ // - . 2012. . 2 (7). . 170-179. . : http://sepd.tntu.edu.ua/images/stories/pdf/2012/12pvavnz.pdf. 657.1:378.1 JEL Classification: M41, 23 ϳ , . , 26, . , e-mail: pigosh_vasya@mail.ru ...

ֲ ̲ . . ϲ 539.3 ̲ ʲ ˲ ̲ 01.02.04 -1999 . . .. ϳ ...

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621.9.06 .. ..., ., .. . ., Բֲ в ˲Ͳ ò Ͳв ί IJ ײ в Ѳ Strutinskiy S., Gyrgiy . The National Technical University of Ukraine Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine (kvm_mmi@mail.ru) AUTHENTICATION OF PARAMETERS OF NONLINEAR HYSTERESIS DESCRIPTIONS OF SPHERICAL...




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